Let the Races Begin
Dennis Moore today announced the end of his career as the third district Congressman. If anyone was having troubles driving through 10th and Jackson in Topeka on their way to work, it was because everyone was picking up their paperwork to run. And we mean EVERYONE. Politico's Josh Kraushaar summed up today's events well. Notice the portion about Wiggans. First, he is running for governor. Then, he sends out emails from a WiggansforSenate email address. Now he's thinking Congress? I guess when you purchase a seat from Kansas Dems, there is a return policy. Neat. Read below for Politico's roundup:
Rep. Dennis Moore (D-Kan.) hasn’t formally announced his retirement yet, but already several leading Republicans are planning to run for the seat he’ll be vacating.
Former GOP state Sen. Nick Jordan, who lost to Moore last year, told party leaders today that he’s running. State Rep. Kevin Yoder also announced he’s forming an exploratory committee for the race.
Two former candidates, attorney Greg Musil and surgeon Jeff Colyer, expressed interest in running but haven’t made final decisions. And former state Rep. Patricia Lightner was already in the race before news of Moore’s retirement broke.
State party officials, operatives and several top Republican donors met this morning to strategize about winning back Moore’s seat and circulated a Public Opinion Strategies poll conducted last week showing Moore with upside-down reelection numbers (42/46) within the district.
Adding to Republican optimism is the fact that Kansas Democrats are struggling to recruit strong challengers for the governor’s race and open Senate seat, which should give the GOP a turnout advantage across the state next year.
“This is now arguably the No. 1 pickup opportunity for Republicans in the nation,” said Kansas Republican consultant David Kensinger. “There’s going to be a huge opportunity on the ground to get someone who represents the district and represents a counterbalance to the Pelosi agenda.”
Republicans are concerned, however, about a crowded primary that has plagued the party’s prospects against Moore for much of this decade. Kansas doesn’t hold its primary until next August, raising the risk that a contentious primary could damage the eventual nominee.
Two potential candidates have firsthand experience with contested primaries: Musil lost the 2000 GOP nomination to a more conservative candidate, while Colyer, an outspoken social conservative, lost the 2002 primary to a candidate favored by the NRCC at the time.
Democrats are expected to seriously contest the seat and argue the district’s suburban base and college outpost (University of Kansas) give them an advantage in a midterm election. President Obama carried the district last year with 51 percent of the vote.
No Democratic candidates have expressed interest in running, but party sources suggested that Kansas City Mayor Joe Reardon would be one of the strongest contenders, if he ran. There's also been buzz that businessman Tom Wiggans, the Democrats gubernatorial front-runner, could switch gears and run for the open House seat instead.
Rep. Dennis Moore (D-Kan.) hasn’t formally announced his retirement yet, but already several leading Republicans are planning to run for the seat he’ll be vacating.
Former GOP state Sen. Nick Jordan, who lost to Moore last year, told party leaders today that he’s running. State Rep. Kevin Yoder also announced he’s forming an exploratory committee for the race.
Two former candidates, attorney Greg Musil and surgeon Jeff Colyer, expressed interest in running but haven’t made final decisions. And former state Rep. Patricia Lightner was already in the race before news of Moore’s retirement broke.
State party officials, operatives and several top Republican donors met this morning to strategize about winning back Moore’s seat and circulated a Public Opinion Strategies poll conducted last week showing Moore with upside-down reelection numbers (42/46) within the district.
Adding to Republican optimism is the fact that Kansas Democrats are struggling to recruit strong challengers for the governor’s race and open Senate seat, which should give the GOP a turnout advantage across the state next year.
“This is now arguably the No. 1 pickup opportunity for Republicans in the nation,” said Kansas Republican consultant David Kensinger. “There’s going to be a huge opportunity on the ground to get someone who represents the district and represents a counterbalance to the Pelosi agenda.”
Republicans are concerned, however, about a crowded primary that has plagued the party’s prospects against Moore for much of this decade. Kansas doesn’t hold its primary until next August, raising the risk that a contentious primary could damage the eventual nominee.
Two potential candidates have firsthand experience with contested primaries: Musil lost the 2000 GOP nomination to a more conservative candidate, while Colyer, an outspoken social conservative, lost the 2002 primary to a candidate favored by the NRCC at the time.
Democrats are expected to seriously contest the seat and argue the district’s suburban base and college outpost (University of Kansas) give them an advantage in a midterm election. President Obama carried the district last year with 51 percent of the vote.
No Democratic candidates have expressed interest in running, but party sources suggested that Kansas City Mayor Joe Reardon would be one of the strongest contenders, if he ran. There's also been buzz that businessman Tom Wiggans, the Democrats gubernatorial front-runner, could switch gears and run for the open House seat instead.
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Moore was a decent Congressman. I never voted for him, but he was better than Kobach in 2004, or Kline in 2000. He was certainly qualified and had decent constituent service. But his voting record kept moving to the left as the years went on. I do think he grew out of touch with his District.
I think Nick Jordan is the best bet thus far. He already has the name recognition and experience. Furthermore, he seemed acceptable to both Moderates and Conservatives in 2008.
The 3rd District is a Moderate Republican district. Obama actually won this district in 2008. I just hope we don't nominate another right-wing loony (like Phil Kline in 2000), and end up with another Democrat in office for another decade. As long as we nominate a Moderate or traditional conservative, this seat is ours.
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I disagree Ben. Kobach would walk away with the nomination and likely win the seat.
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Just remember this District includes KCK and Eastern Lawrence. Not exactly Republican strongholds. Moderates will be needed to win this seat back from the Democrats. I'm not sure Moderates will embrace someone like Kobach in 2010, because they didn't in 2004.
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I think it all comes together for a Kobach-type candidate this year. There will be a Dem primary and a war chest for Dems will be smaller in the general. It is now a toss-up so there's more party money for both sides. There is no Obama draw or name recognition gap due to incumbency. The Republican field currently splits in several different directions. Kobach and even Jordan have solid name recognition from prior runs and Kobach as party chair. If not Kobach, then Jordan, but i think if both are in it goes to Kobach. I think Kobach beats all the Dem names that have come up so far. This may be a primary race won with 22% of the vote. Chances of a Dem win after their own primary is limited. Even moderate Republicans don't want another round of spending, higher taxes and a health care debacle. They'll vote Republican along with enough independents who are tired of the Obama/Pelosi agenda.
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You are correct that 2010 should be a favorable year for the GOP in general, and someone like Kobach could win because of low turnout. But I just worry about another Vince Snowbarger type taking office. Right-wingers simply don't have staying power in this district. People like Kobach will have to moderate if they want to stay in office beyond 2012. Because 2012 will have high turnout, and a Democrat will have a much better shot.
Pat Colloton is the only semi-moderate that has announced interest thus far. I don't know why she's considered a mod, she's pro-life and a fiscal conservative. At any rate, if only one moderate runs, and has a large war-chest, they might be able to win the primary because numerous conservatives will split the vote.
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Kansas will lose a district in 2012 so it is likely whoever wins will be a one term Rep.
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False
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not true.
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Yea, you're an idiot. We're not even close to losing a district.
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Kobach is a non-starter. He's unpopular even with many conservatives for poor job as party chair, a position he won over the statewide conservative choice, Pompeo. Brownback and his people want no part of him
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Does that mean they don't want him as secstate either? Who do they have that can beat him? Still no one announced.
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As expected Moore has decided not to run. And also as expected, the lack of an incumbent has enticed established GOP names like Jordan and Yoder to join the crowded primary race.
But while the political winds seem to favor the Republicans in 2010, they have a catch-22 in this District. It will still be hard for a Moderate Republican to win the primary. And it will be hard for a Conservative Republican to win the general election. Even if the GOP finds a moderate that wins the primary, there is a good chance the Tea Party movement will back an independent conservative. That could spilt the vote and ensure a Democratic victory like we recently saw in upstate NY. This is no slam dunk for the GOP by any means.
It will be very interesting to see how this one plays out.
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As expected Moore has decided not to run. And also as expected, the lack of an incumbent has enticed established GOP names like Jordan and Yoder to join the crowded primary race.
But while the political winds seem to favor the Republicans in 2010, they have a catch-22 in this District. It will still be hard for a Moderate Republican to win the primary. And it will be hard for a Conservative Republican to win the general election. Even if the GOP finds a moderate that wins the primary, there is a good chance the Tea Party movement will back an independent conservative. That could spilt the vote and ensure a Democratic victory like we recently saw in upstate NY. This is no slam dunk for the GOP by any means.
It will be very interesting to see how this one plays out.
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It would really be cool if you informed the readers of facts. Like who really has filed for US Congress. There are five of us. See www.fec.gov">www.fec.gov. A lot of people say they might run . . . well, why then are they afraid to file? We that have filed were not afraid of Moore. So, what were all these other yahoos afraid of?
Thomas E. Scherer, the first and best candidate to have filed. See www.fec.gov">www.fec.gov. provided one likes to write facts instead of speculation.
Please.
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Tom,
Aren't you thinking about suing the JOCO GOP, and haven't you said that you could run as a Democrat? There is an open ticket on the other side...
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First, you might be misinformed and not under what I did in fact state. I sent a private email assuring you I would respond and be assistive in clarification. Just send me your name first. Please.
You can also read what I wrote many times at http://schererforyourcongressman.blogspot.com. There is my posting today on federal tax policy issues. yesterday, there is the Scherer-Showen Pact. Friday, was a report related to hundreds of thousands of people not getting license plate renewals or real estate tax notices, what caused this, and hopefully soon, hope to fix it. I also had the post on FDR's 1933 speech about the only thing we have fear, is fear itself. Plus my reading his speech, how much it almost sounds like 2009.
Anyway, gotta go. Stuff to do. Some of it for you.
tdus
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Did the above poster misinterpret "I think what I really should do is ask a judge to ask them in a lawsuit I feel compelled to file in state district court. Maybe all of these people can explain all of this nonsense to a judge, since these really rotten people refuse to tell either my staff communications director Charles Wilson or me what is going on[,]" from your website? Because it sounds like you are thinking of suing the JOCO GOP.
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If you did not read the FDR piece I wrote and are leaving in fear, stop it. And give your name and contact info. I do not deal with Americans that live in fear and hide anonymously.
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Read the FDR piece not sure how it relates to you suing the JOCO GOP.
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Thanks for your communication. By failure to disclose, this session is ended. Further communication will merely be deleted.
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1: You can't delete anything on here.
2: Just a simple question asking whether or not you are still planning to sue the JOCO GOP, to which the responses have been...um...off the mark?
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Now this person who keeps to communicate, but refuses to give his identity has wasted my time and yours. I am currently in communication with both some US Senators and Warren Buffet.
I think since Mr. Buffet, through his assistant is not afraid to disclose his identity, I should be spending more time focused on that communication on behalf of all the rest of you.
I have been campaigning for quite a while. We get jokers like this wasting their time and mine. His or her communication is going to straight to the delete box.
I have many others to respond to, that do not live in fear of revealing their own identity.
End of session.
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Warren Buffet...ahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahaha, yeah right. I was on the phone with Mickey Mouse earlier he said you had his vote. Bill Gates is expecting a call from you by the by.
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Mr. Scherer, You did make a threat to sue the JoCo GOP on your website. I don't think you realize what a detriment that statement was to your campaign. If you are going to run as a 3rd District candidate, you need to act like a mature, responsible person. That type of posting on your website does nothing but hurt you. Take my advice and quit the negative comments.
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Well Duane, why don't you file for United States Congress then.
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Haha. Communicating with Warren Buffet.
From: Tom Scherer [mailto:tscherer4@kc.rr.com]
Sent: Friday, December 18, 2009 1:20 AM
To: Debbie Bosanek, Assistant to Warren Buffett
Cc: dbarclay@geico.com
Subject: Re: Your input on our national infrastructure
Debbie, I am a big disability rights activist. Have had cases all over America including nine docketed or attempted to be docketed with SCOTUS.
Now I keep calling GEICO who I have my auto insurance with. Why are their telephone lines not in compliance with the Americans with Disabilities Act? The federal statute is 42 U.S.C. 12101 et. seq.
Some of the people who are disabled cannot respond to touch dial automated systems. Most companies that do comply with this federal mandate have voice response options. Why does GEICO not do this?
A Geico manager sent me an email a few weeks ago stating I would be hearing an answer to this. Yet, somewhere, this has gotten lost or ignored.
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So you sent an email about random things you have done, and your problems with Geico to a person who works for Warren Buffet (who I believe said he did not have time for you in a return email posted on your site) and that means you are communicating with him. Fair enough. I am going down to Nebraska furniture mart to communicate with Buffet via a store manager...
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Go for it. I left out part of the communication. Have a great time.
Mr. Scherer,
"We did show your note to Mr. Buffett and he appreciates hearing from you."
So let me know how it goes at Nebraska. That was last week. You should see who I was communicating with today. New day, same kind of work. And all for people like you.
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Well, just an update. Buffer referred me to General Counsel, or one of them for GEICO. I continue to engage in communication related to all the companies owned by Berkshire not having voice response units as required by the Americans with Disabilities Act mandate. See 42 U.S.C. 12101, et seq.
Now if we get all the companies doing business in the US to have a voice response unit, we can save lives. What would happen is you would still be able to communicate on your cell phone while driving, but not have to input touch tones to communicate. That way, you would have both hands on the wheel of your steering wheel and that in fact, would save thousands of lives per year. And that is just one thing I am working on to save lives in the United States. What are these other yahoos running for United States Congress doing for you now! Today. Hence, why I state I am the best candidate for United States Congress. I am doing stuff for you now. Most of these other yahoos are promising what they will do, if elected. We have heard this song and dance before.
Ask them. I have not heard much of anything from any of them about why you should vote for them. Have you?
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I just worry about another Vince Snowbarger type taking office. Right-wingers simply don't have staying power in this district. People like Kobach will have to moderate if they want to stay in office beyond 2012. Because 2012 will have high turnout, and a Democrat will have a much better shot.
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